Audio and Video

What is TikTok’s future?

27 August 2024
The power of TikTok is not in doubt with more than 2 billion users and 1 billion videos viewed every day. But what happens if this powerful social media outlet is banned? Source: Adobe Stock

In 2020, amid escalating tensions between the United States and China, TikTok emerged as a focal point in a geopolitical conflict. Former President Donald Trump sought to ban the popular social media platform from U.S. app stores, citing national security concerns tied to its ownership by China’s ByteDance.

A federal judge temporarily halted the ban, allowing TikTok to continue its operations in the U.S., but the issue has not faded. This year, President Joe Biden renewed efforts to force the sale of TikTok to an American entity, backed by legislation aimed at mitigating security risks.

Despite these challenges, TikTok rapidly ascended to social media dominance. Known for its addictive short videos and thriving influencer culture, the platform, launched in its current form in 2018, now boasts a global user base exceeding 2.05 billion. Each day, more than 1 billion videos are viewed, making TikTok an indispensable platform for advertisers, who can potentially reach over 1.08 billion users.

As TikTok’s influence grows, so do concerns about its impact on global discourse. With the 2024 U.S. presidential election on the horizon, intelligence officials warn of an impending deluge of AI-generated fake news, possibly fueled by foreign actors. Recent reports from The Wall Street Journal reveal thousands of politically charged videos on TikTok, containing falsehoods and hyperbole, allegedly pushed by entities from China, Nigeria, Iran and Vietnam. This sets the stage for a critical examination of what might happen if TikTok were to disappear, given its profound influence.

TikTok’s day in court

These ongoing geopolitical tensions have now culminated in multiple legal and regulatory battles that TikTok must navigate. Recent legislation, driven by national security concerns over TikTok's Chinese ownership, mandates that ByteDance must sell the platform within 270 days or face a nationwide ban — a deadline that could be extended by the President.

The law aims to mitigate fears that the Chinese government could exploit TikTok to access sensitive data from its 170 million U.S. users or disseminate propaganda. However, separating TikTok’s American operations from its Chinese roots poses significant challenges, both technically and legally, as evidenced by past discussions with major tech players like Microsoft and Oracle.

In addition to these national security concerns, TikTok is also facing a new lawsuit from the Justice Department, accusing it of violating child privacy laws by illegally collecting data from users under 13. The suit alleges that TikTok breached the Children’s Online Privacy Protection Act and a 2019 agreement with the U.S. government by failing to properly notify parents and delete children's data as required.

TikTok has pledged to challenge these actions in court, arguing that a forced sale or ban would infringe on First Amendment rights, while also contending that many child privacy allegations are based on outdated practices. Legal experts anticipate that these cases could drag on for years, during which TikTok would likely continue operating in the U.S. The outcomes of these battles could set important precedents for regulating foreign-owned tech companies in the U.S. and have far-reaching implications for TikTok’s future.

While some experts argue there’s no evidence that TikTok has posed greater privacy risks than companies like Facebook or Google, TikTok’s legal and regulatory challenges continue to unfold. This ongoing uncertainty sets the stage for a critical examination of how users and creators will adapt if TikTok’s presence in the U.S. is significantly altered or eliminated.

What’s next after TikTok?

This is a high-stakes concern across America. A ban could have broad ramifications, leading to a significant reshuffling in the digital ecosystem. Navigating this shift will require strategic adaptation.

Impact on news consumption and media influence: The number of TikTok users who regularly seek news on the platform has quadrupled, with an average of 82 minutes spent on the platform each day early one-third of Americans under 30 use TikTok as their main news source . This significant shift in news consumption grants content creators on TikTok considerable power to influence public opinion, spread culture and promote political campaigns. If TikTok is banned, industries and creators who rely on the platform for outreach may struggle to find other platforms that offer the same level of engagement and influence.

Cultural impact and business adaptation: TikTok has become a central hub where current culture forms, with a unique cultural vibe that is hard to replicate on other platforms. The platform’s influence extends beyond individual creators, deeply impacting industries like music, which relies on TikTok for talent discovery, audience reach and revenue generation through licensing agreements. A ban could disrupt these established cultural channels, forcing businesses that heavily rely on TikTok for marketing and customer engagement to adapt quickly, potentially leading to a more fragmented and competitive digital ecosystem.

Free speech: A ban of TikTok would eliminate an important place for Americans to speak and be heard. It would be a travesty for the free speech rights of hundreds of millions of Americans who depend on the app to communicate, express themselves, and even make a living. And perhaps more importantly, it would further balkanize the global internet and disconnect us from the world.

Some alternatives to TikTok are already on the market all that feature similar short term video formats and this is not just from the likely competitors in YouTube, Instagram, Snapchat and more. Source: Adobe Stock   Some alternatives to TikTok are already on the market all that feature similar short term video formats and this is not just from the likely competitors in YouTube, Instagram, Snapchat and more. Source: Adobe Stock

Alternatives

Platforms like Instagram Reels, Snapchat Spotlight and YouTube Shorts offer similar features, providing alternative outlets for expression and engagement.

In fact, there are organic signs that TikTok’s popularity in the U.S. may be plateauing after years of massive growth. Reports from NBC News show that TikTok has reached its peak and is on a steady decline from their once popular stature. According to data from Apptopia, TikTok downloads in 2023 through Nov. 30 were down 20% from the same period in 2022. SensorTower estimated that installs of alternative video-sharing apps have grown 361%.

Instagram Reels: Launched in 2020, Instagram Reels lets users create and share short-form videos within Instagram, offering up to 60-second clips. It shares similarities with TikTok but focuses on shorter videos and has enhanced audio features, though business accounts face music limitations.

Snapchat Spotlight: Snapchat Spotlight showcases user-generated short-form videos, emphasizing creativity and personalized content through algorithmic curation. It provides a more intimate experience compared to TikTok, with robust targeting options for advertisers.

YouTube Shorts: YouTube Shorts offers 60-second videos, integrating seamlessly with YouTube’s broader ecosystem. With advanced monetization options and a vast user base, Shorts competes with TikTok by appealing to creators seeking financial opportunities and diverse content.

There are also several emerging apps quietly gaining traction. These lesser-known options offer unique features and tailored experiences, appealing to niche audiences and creators looking for fresh, creative spaces to share their content.

Triller: Triller is a user-friendly video platform known for its strong music integration and creative simplicity. It appeals to users seeking a streamlined alternative to TikTok with an emphasis on ease of use and artistic expression.

Lemon8: Owned by TikTok's parent company ByteDance, Lemon8 is a lifestyle app popular among adults interested in beauty, fashion and travel. Despite its growing popularity, concerns about potential bans due to its connection with TikTok limit its reach.

Likee: Likee offers unique editing features and privacy settings, catering primarily to adult users. Although it has improved since its initial launch, the presence of adult content and frequent ads may deter some users.

Funimate: Funimate is recognized for its advanced editing tools and music synchronization, making it a top choice for creative video enthusiasts. It supports cross-platform sharing but has a smaller user base and limited discoverability.

Lomotif: Lomotif provides high-quality editing tools and a large music library, positioning itself as a strong alternative to TikTok. It’s ideal for video creators who prioritize creative flexibility but are willing to deal with watermarks and in-app purchases.

Firework: Firework offers secure content-sharing with a focus on direct collaborations and targeted sharing, though it lacks interactive features like likes and comments. It’s suitable for users and brands seeking a straightforward, no-frills content-sharing experience.

In summary, as legislative debates continue to cast uncertainty over TikTok's future, users and content creators have a range of interesting alternatives that are poised to step in and fill the potential void.

Conclusion

As legislative discussions loom over TikTok's fate, users and content creators are focusing on the platform's fate. Amid the turbulence, alternative platforms are emerging as promising contenders to fill the potential void left by TikTok's absence.

Alternatives offer unique features and functionalities tailored specifically for the short-form video format. From an emphasis on music to seamless integration within the Instagram ecosystem, users have a plethora of options to explore.

As the competition between these platforms intensifies, users and creators stand to benefit from a rich ecosystem of content discovery, engagement and monetization opportunities. Ultimately, short-form video content platforms will be shaped by how well users and creators adapt to new opportunities and challenges, ensuring that digital creativity continues to thrive, regardless of the fate of TikTok.



Powered by CR4, the Engineering Community

Discussion – 0 comments

By posting a comment you confirm that you have read and accept our Posting Rules and Terms of Use.
Engineering Newsletter Signup
Get the GlobalSpec
Stay up to date on:
Features the top stories, latest news, charts, insights and more on the end-to-end electronics value chain.
Advertisement
Weekly Newsletter
Get news, research, and analysis
on the Electronics industry in your
inbox every week - for FREE
Sign up for our FREE eNewsletter
Advertisement