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CES 2020: What not to expect from the biggest tradeshow of the year

19 December 2019

As the electronics industry gears up for the biggest tradeshow of the year, CES 2020, many people expect the debut of new gadgets, automotive prototypes, new computers, new sensors and processors and much more.

However, according to ABI Research, several technology innovations are not going to happen at the show, including 5G wearables, quantum computing, self-driving trucks, 8K television content and more.

In a new whitepaper, ABI Research identified 35 trends that will shape the technology market in 2020 and 19 others that won’t, despite attracting a large amount of speculation.

While 5G has become a hot trend in the electronics market, launching this year with numerous countries deploying networks and numerous smartphones being rolled out, 5G wearables won’t arrive in 2020 or anytime soon.

“To bring 5G to wearables, specific 5G chipsets will need to be designed and components will need to be reconfigured to fit in the small form factor. That won’t begin to happen until 2024, at the earliest,” said Stephanie Tomsett, 5G devices, smartphones and wearables analyst at ABI Research.

In terms of quantum computing, the tech industry is far away from democratization of quantum computing technology and is not even remotely close to a large-scale commercial deployment stage.

While there have been many advancements in terms of self-driving trucks in the past year, ABI Research believes commercial use is many years off. ABI also said Edge computing won’t overtake cloud computing. Instead, the research firm believes the technologies will complement each other rather than cannibalize one another.

Meanwhile, as numerous 8K TVs were announced at CES last year and more are expected to be rolled out at CES 2020, there is little to no 8K content available and the price for 8K TV sets is exorbitant.

“The transition from high definition (HD) to 4K will continue in 2020 with very limited 8K shipments — less than 1 million worldwide,” said Khin Sandi Lynn, video and cloud services analyst at ABI Research.

To contact the author of this article, email PBrown@globalspec.com


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